Comments on: Are you ready to RUMBLE? http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE/ Comments on MetaFilter post Are you ready to RUMBLE? Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:06:14 -0800 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:06:14 -0800 en-us http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss 60 Are you ready to RUMBLE? http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE What Neil deGrasse Tyson is to astrophysics, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucy_Jones">Lucy Jones</a> is to seismology. "The last time there was a large seismic event on the fault that can do us the most harm, the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1857_Fort_Tejon_earthquake">San Andreas, in 1857</a>, Los Angeles had about 4,000 residents. "We really weren't worried about keeping a complex social structure in place," Jones said. But as we get bigger and more complex, we increase our vulnerability." Jones presented her talk, <a href="http://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2013/12/11/imagine-america-without-los-angeles-expert-warns-southern-california-isnt-ready-for-major-quake/">"Imagine America Without Los Angeles"</a> to the American Geophysical Union Conference in San Francisco in 2013. While <a href="http://gallery.usgs.gov/sets/1994_Northridge_CA_Earthquake">today</a> is the <a href="http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-la-now-live-20140116-dto,0,3710319.story#axzz2qgE91vEi">20th anniversary</a> of the <a href="http://www.latimes.com/local/la-me-northridge-memories-20140117,0,1736193.story#axzz2qgE91vEi">Northridge quake</a>, we still haven't quite figured out what to do to mitigate the effects of the BIG ONE to come. <br /><br />Perhaps 1 in 100 buildings in this region would collapse after the Big One. Far more vulnerable is our underground infrastructure of utilities. <a href="http://abclocal.go.com/kabc/explore?tag=water-main-break">Municipal water lines were installed as much as a century ago. They are decaying and would break in a quake.</a> We increasingly rely on the Internet and cellular telephone technology for communication, and there is no guarantee those would be up after a big earthquake — especially, Jones said, because there's no legal requirement that cell towers be seismically strong. And one hour after the anniversary of the quake that destroyed my parent's home in Northridge and sent freeways plummeting into chasms and dust clouds billowing up through the unlit sky, we had a <a href="http://www.data.scec.org/recenteqs/Quakes/ci11414818.html">tiny jolt</a> that woke us up at 5:27 a.m. PST this morning. It was shallow at 2 miles deep under Studio City, only 12 miles from the Northridge epicenter. post:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 10:53:34 -0800 Sophie1 earthquake preparedness quake losangeles california northridge temblor sanandreasfault By: late afternoon dreaming hotel http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5377977 Complicating matters, recent studies of the Hollywood fault have been met with public jeers about NIMBYism. LA likes to brush off little quakes, and it shows (our landlord rolled his eyes when we asked about the foundation of our place, which hasn't been reinforced since it cracked in the Northridge quake). Richard Riordan, who was they mayor of LA at the time, has said in more recent interviews that LA wasn't ready for Northridge and, in the time that has elapsed since it happened, the city has forgotten the urgency that the aftermath seemed to temporarily spark in terms of retrofitting systems for better preparedness. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5377977 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:06:14 -0800 late afternoon dreaming hotel By: hwyengr http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5377983 Infrastructure crossing the fault line seems problematic, but there's still 70+ miles of land to temper the Big One in LA from the San Andreas. I always understood that an earthquake from the fault recently discovered under downtown, or from the fault that the residents of Beverly Hills refuse to recognize goes under BHHS, would be much more devastating, to the point that there was academic discussion about Alquist-Priolo'ing Century City. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5377983 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:08:48 -0800 hwyengr By: hwyengr http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5377992 But I do believe that Caltrans would have temporary pavement reconnecting the 5 and 15 on both sides within a few days. Temporary pavement goes down fast. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5377992 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:11:36 -0800 hwyengr By: markkraft http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378001 Ok... imagining America without Los Angeles. Still imagining... <i>*shrug*</i> comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378001 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:14:11 -0800 markkraft By: pencroft http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378003 Also not ready for an earthquake: <a href="http://seattletimes.com/html/pacificnw/2021850265_1006coverearthquake1xml.html">Seattle</a>. <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/earthquakes-east-coast-states-unprepared-emergency-management-experts/story?id=14365448"> New York. <a href="http://newsok.com/is-oklahoma-ready-for-a-major-earthquake/article/3918200"> Oklahoma.</a> Ready for an earthquake: <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/03/23/oregon-earthquake-survivalists/1996555/">Oregon.</a></a> comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378003 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:15:23 -0800 pencroft By: AlexiaSky http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378011 @pencroft Don't forget about Chicago. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378011 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:17:15 -0800 AlexiaSky By: lekvar http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378013 I live in the Bay Area and have been thinking hard on this subject a lot recently. The point about the infrastructure and utilities is one that is commonly overlooked when people talk about earthquakes, probably due to the drama of the event. What I see discussed even less is the fires that can potentially follow in the wake of an earthquake. I'm sure there are plans in place, but given LA's problems with water, and California's current and ongoing drought, I'd prefer to hear a lot more reassurances from state agencies than I have been. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378013 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:17:26 -0800 lekvar By: hwyengr http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378028 <i>*shrug*</i> You'll lose access to the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles, which handle most of the imports from Asia, and all <a href="http://la.curbed.com/archives/2013/07/the_west_coasts_incognito_home_of_the_internet_just_sold_for_a_recordsetting_price.php">fiber connections</a> to the Pacific Rim. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378028 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:22:36 -0800 hwyengr By: Sophie1 http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378031 Indeed lekvar. This is Balboa Blvd. north of Rinaldi <a href="https://maps.google.com/maps?ie=UTF-8&layer=c&z=17&iwloc=A&sll=34.282768,-118.501739&cbp=13,95.1,0,0,0&cbll=34.282795,-118.502103&q=11658+Balboa+Boulevard,+Los+Angeles,+CA&ei=VoTZUvfGApL_oQSBtYHABw&ved=0CC4QxB0wAA">today</a>. <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/green/news/2010/08/06/8221/governing-through-a-disaster/">This is the same location in 1994</a>. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378031 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:24:58 -0800 Sophie1 By: jason_steakums http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378051 I've got friends up in Seattle and Bellingham and have been idly thinking about moving out that way for ages, but every time I think about the kind of place I could rent on my budget and how it would hold up in the overdue quake that nobody seems to take all that seriously, it certainly gives me pause. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378051 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:32:44 -0800 jason_steakums By: ChurchHatesTucker http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378055 Wouldn't it take out the MPAA and the RIAA? Hello, Silver Lining! comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378055 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:36:39 -0800 ChurchHatesTucker By: Katemonkey http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378065 Dr. Lucy! Man, my dad has such a crush on Dr. Lucy. Every time there's the tiniest quake, he turns on the news to see if they've gotten Dr. Lucy to talk about it. My dad also lives in <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/katemonkey/430765920/">a 1920s' Spanish-style bungalow</a> that barely stands as it is, what with the various quakes and termites and trees springing up everywhere. So the next big quake in L.A. is more than likely going to topple it, and I will lose <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/katemonkey/430763838/">that perfect hexagon bathroom tile</a>, <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/katemonkey/430764054">the iron heater</a>, and <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/katemonkey/430764835/">the front knocker</a>. I'll lose my high school birthday parties, my afternoons in the garden, the time the possum fell out of the tree, the other time a chicken moved into the backyard just because it could, the soft and hazy weekend mornings with the bright sun floating into the living room, the stray cats who hung out by the side steps, the giant cactus, the bright blue of my bedroom, the <em>Star Trek</em> action figure dioramas in the dining room, and so much more. So, yeah, America without Los Angeles? Kind of a big fucking deal to me. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378065 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:39:18 -0800 Katemonkey By: justsomebodythatyouusedtoknow http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378067 <em>*shrug*</em> Imagine America without tens of thousands of people who live in Los Angeles. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378067 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:39:25 -0800 justsomebodythatyouusedtoknow By: markkraft http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378069 <i>"You'll lose access to the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles, which handle most of the imports from Asia, and all fiber connections to the Pacific Rim."</i> So, it'll be hard to get the latest manga from Japan, and fansubs and scanlations might be delayed somewhat, but Crunchyroll, which is hosted somewhere near San Jose, is okay. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378069 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:39:52 -0800 markkraft By: The 10th Regiment of Foot http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378072 <em>"The last time there was a large seismic event on the fault that can do us the most harm, <strong>the San Andreas</strong>..."</em> That's a bit of a subjective judgement! <em>"Imagine America Without Los Angeles"</em> Just try and stop me! comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378072 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:41:22 -0800 The 10th Regiment of Foot By: The 10th Regiment of Foot http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378076 <em>Imagine America without tens of thousands of people who live in Los Angeles.</em> They could always move. The problem is they would have to move to other communities. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378076 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:42:05 -0800 The 10th Regiment of Foot By: Joey Michaels http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378077 <i>Imagine America without tens of thousands of people who live in Los Angeles.</i> The population of Los Angeles is something like 3.5 million. If we go with the concept that only tens of thousands of them are people, presumably the remaining 3.48 million are those space nazi that Iran's news agency has been talking about this week. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378077 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:43:03 -0800 Joey Michaels By: hyperizer http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378091 I believe justsomebodythatyouusedtoknow was estimating a death toll of "tens of thousands." comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378091 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:45:08 -0800 hyperizer By: Chrysostom http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378092 Wow, people are kind of being assholes in this thread. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378092 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:45:16 -0800 Chrysostom By: Sophie1 http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378095 Here's the thing. There are about 13 million of us in the Greater Los Angeles area. Some of us are not going to make it. Only 60 died during Northridge, but that was also only (!) a 6.7 and it occurred on a holiday at 4:30 a.m. If we get something above a 7, especially if it happens during the work and school day, there are going to be a lot of casualties. A lot. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378095 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:45:42 -0800 Sophie1 By: markkraft http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378096 After checking, it looks like L.A. <a href="http://www.cablemap.info/">doesn't host all the fiber connections to the Pacific Rim</a>. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378096 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:45:50 -0800 markkraft By: The 10th Regiment of Foot http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378101 <em>Wow, people are kind of being assholes in this thread.</em> To be fair, it's not just this thread. But I think (I hope) 99.9% of it is just dark humor. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378101 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:47:45 -0800 The 10th Regiment of Foot By: hwyengr http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378143 <i>After checking, it looks like L.A. doesn't host all the fiber connections to the Pacific Rim.</i> Yeah, you're right. I'm sure nobody will notice 27 Tbps of capacity going offline. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378143 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:57:24 -0800 hwyengr By: klangklangston http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378149 Oh, that's right, it's time to update the earthquake kit. We have several days worth of food and water, all with a year expiration date, so we eat it and refresh it every year. It's kinda fun, especially since we found out that Pringles are one of the foods with a superannual expiration. When the big one comes, we'll be popping our chip tubes as we survey the wreckage. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378149 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 11:59:57 -0800 klangklangston By: The 10th Regiment of Foot http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378152 <em>I'm sure nobody will notice 27 Tbps of capacity going offline.</em> It's not like they can't rewire it once the smoke clears. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378152 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:00:14 -0800 The 10th Regiment of Foot By: norm http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378167 I am sure that Memphis, St. Louis, and Little Rock are all totally ready for an event at the New Madrid fault too, right? comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378167 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:01:58 -0800 norm By: markkraft http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378171 As a Northern Californian, I tend to view the situation with a certain degree of fatalism... combined with a natural, friendly loathing of L.A. Earthquakes are unavoidable. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shikata_ga_nai">Shō ga nai.</a> It would be nice, especially, if apartment owners would fix up their buildings, which everyone knows aren't nearly safe enough... but they won't, because they have a lot of pull. Real estate in general has major pull in California, which is why we have Prop 7, proposed by an anti-tax real estate speculator as a way of supposedly helping old people stay in their home, but actually used to permanently benefit landlords and as a kind of "I've got mine" institutionalized generational theft that keeps the state on the verge of financial insolvency. Shō ga nai. Absolutely nothing will be done about the situation until thousands of people die and tens of thousands are left homeless, while landlords jack up rents on the remaining rentals... and by that time, it'll be a bit late, I suspect. I'd love to be proved wrong, of course, but... comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378171 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:02:41 -0800 markkraft By: queensissy http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378172 Jesus crackers, can we stop with the "Los Angeles sucks/Los Angelenos are subhuman" comments in this thread? comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378172 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:03:08 -0800 queensissy By: ambient2 http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378181 I got a painful laugh out of the description of Lucy. Among people who have direct knowledge of her blinding narcissism, the line is that the most dangerous place to be after an earthquake is between Lucy and a TV camera (and oh by the way, at those times, the serious scientists are busy doing work). comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378181 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:05:34 -0800 ambient2 By: klangklangston http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378182 It's OK, it's kind of a predictable reaction from insecurity. Sort of like how people in San Francisco love to hate on LA, but most folks in LA couldn't give a shit about what SF thinks about them. (Or, as a more extreme example, when the MLB tried to set up the Dodgers as the Detroit Tigers' NL "rival," which some folks in Detroit got excited about, but LA never even noticed.) comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378182 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:05:40 -0800 klangklangston By: yasaman http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378191 Yeah, I get the urge to joke, especially as someone who lives in LA and jokes so she doesn't curl under the desk in abject fear, but "no big loss, eh?" comments are kind of insensitive and assholish. There are a lot of us who live here, and for a lot of us it's not outside the realm of probability that a big earthquake could kill us or our families. I feel like I've been thinking about the possibility of a devastating earthquake more and more, because we just seem really ominously overdue for it. People seem to be alarmingly blase about earthquake preparation, and I get why, because it's not like hurricanes or tornadoes or wildfires, where you have a reasonable expectation that around a certain time of year you may get hit with one so you should be prepared. You just have your earthquake preparedness kit and hope that whatever building you're in can ride it out. That inspires a certain amount of fatalism that's just not conducive to enacting big reforms like retrofitting old buildings. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378191 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:06:48 -0800 yasaman By: mazola http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378198 <small>MetaFilter: people are kind of being assholes in this thread</small> comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378198 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:08:21 -0800 mazola By: queensissy http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378203 klangklangston, you just made my day with the Pringles info! I updated our earthquake kit last week, and was looking at the "food" squares in there with a certain amount of trepidation... comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378203 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:10:55 -0800 queensissy By: mazola http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378204 <i>Wow, people are kind of being assholes in this thread.</i> MetaFilter: God Bless America. Except California. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378204 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:10:58 -0800 mazola By: scottcal http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378208 With a little luck, California's <a href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/09/130927-earthquake-early-warning-system-earth-science/">early warning system</a> could be up and running before the next large San Andreas event. There would still be a lot of damage and the same post-earthquake worries about Southern California being cut off (no ports, no traffic, no water) apply, but it would be likely to mitigate some of the immediate impact and save some lives. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378208 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:11:30 -0800 scottcal By: jason_steakums http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378216 The cost of earthquake proofing has gotta be one hell of a lot less than the cost of earthquake recovery from a quake of that scale. Here's a <a href="http://www.portlandmercury.com/portland/the-first-four-minutes/Content?oid=5766214">wonderfully vivid article</a> about a theoretical Portland quake that does a good job of communicating the scale, especially the aftermath. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378216 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:12:47 -0800 jason_steakums By: Theta States http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378230 <i>Jones presented her talk, "Imagine America Without Los Angeles" </i> Oh now you're just trolling for attention with a title like that! comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378230 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:17:01 -0800 Theta States By: Sophie1 http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378244 As a third generation native Angelena who has directly survived Sylmar and Northridge, I tend to be as prepped as possible. I will buy Pringles tonight klangklangston as currently we have nothing to go with the tuna pouches. Also, as I always remind people - duct tape and latex gloves. As for Lucy Jones - eh, I'm a huge fan of Dr. Kate Hutton, frankly. On June 12, 2005 we had the Anza quake (5.2) and Kate was supposed to be in the L.A. Pride Parade that morning with the queer scientist contingent. They all had signs saying "Hi Kate" for the news cameras. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378244 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:22:49 -0800 Sophie1 By: The 10th Regiment of Foot http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378253 Ok, ok, I apologise for the LA jokes. I enjoy LA as much as the next guy. But seriously, infrastructure across America is in terrible shape and all needs upgrading. No major metro areas are ready for a natural disaster, LA just happens to get earthquakes whereas the east coast might get hurricanes and the middle gets tornadoes and earthquakes and floods and droughts and hurricanes (along the gulf coast part) and locust swarms and blizzards and lutefisk shortages. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378253 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:26:22 -0800 The 10th Regiment of Foot By: holyrood http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378254 I plan to spend the weekend updating my emergency supplies (thanks, MLK!). Maybe I will finally make a kit for my workplace and my car! Queensissy I cannot handle the weird emergency foods too. I have started just checking the expiry dates of all the foods I normally eat and enjoy, to see what we can add. Usually our kit (me and klang's) consists of Pringles, some giant cans of mixed nuts, some vegetarian jerky, applesauce in plastic containers, and dried fruits. I also noticed just this year that KIND bars have a yearlong expiration date so I think they will join the kit in 2014. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378254 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:26:32 -0800 holyrood By: hwyengr http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378267 <i>Among people who have direct knowledge of her blinding narcissism</i> Huh. I didn't know that, but it gives insight into the dig that Anotonovich leveled during a Metro board meeting that related her advice as equal to "asking the weather girl on how to secure your house during a hurricane" comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378267 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:30:41 -0800 hwyengr By: Sophie1 http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378279 Holyrood - tuna pouches!!! They're good for 3-5 years. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378279 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:32:37 -0800 Sophie1 By: pyramid termite http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378294 the economic and political fallout from a los angeles earthquake would be incalculable - it could well trigger a depression and when our unprepared government fails to respond adequately to the massive suffering in l a - or the secondary effects ... katrina was nothing compared to what this would be comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378294 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:38:44 -0800 pyramid termite By: Bookhouse http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378295 <em>Or the snootiness?</em> Physician, heal thyself. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378295 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:38:51 -0800 Bookhouse By: atomicstone http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378305 Lucy! I have a science crush on her. My crippling fear of earthquakes (and math) made me change my mind, but for a long time I wanted to be a geologic bc of her. Growing up in LA, yes, she was a major part of any earthquake experience. First thing, turn on the and find out what Lucy (and Kate) have to say. Also, it's been adorable to watch her kid grow up. Earthquakes would happen (well, all the time, but) in the middle of the night and she' be on TV at 4am, holding a sleeping toddler, asking the news people to quiet down so they wouldn't wake the baby. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378305 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:42:14 -0800 atomicstone By: fshgrl http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378329 LA is a lot more prepared for a big earthquake than anyplace else in the US though. Im pretty sure they have plans to deal with the fucking incredibly obvious infrastructure issues. Plus people are used to shit falling over, burning down and getting washed away in SoCal. They deal with it very calmly and sensibly compared to anywhere else I've ever lived. And, despite all the shit they get, Caltrans is probably the single best Well That Happened infrastructure-fixing organization in the world. They have a lot of practice! comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378329 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 12:48:39 -0800 fshgrl By: The 10th Regiment of Foot http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378366 <em>the economic and political fallout from a los angeles earthquake would be incalculable</em> How could we know this? Sure, a total and absolute destruction of the 100+ square mile area included in the LA metro area would certainly be catastrophic, but what kind of quake would it take to accomplish that? Ageing infrastructure or not, I assume LA is somewhat more prepared than San Francisco in 1906. <em>katrina was nothing compared to what this would be</em> The issue with Katrina wasn't the initial hurricane, it was the massive flooding that went on for weeks due to the levee break, of course New Orleans was way smaller at it's peak than LA, but LA doesn't sit below sea level either. That said, the Northridge damage was estimated at $50 million while Katrina cost around twice that. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378366 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 13:07:15 -0800 The 10th Regiment of Foot By: jjwiseman http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378383 I took <a href="http://www.fema.gov/community-emergency-response-teams">CERT</a> training from LAFD a few years back, and during the section on earthquakes, they told us in the event of a 7+ earthquake we should expect to be completely on our own for a week or more before getting any help from emergency services. That was a bit of a wakeup call for me, a Chicago transplant. I checked my kit this morning: candles, matches, crank flashlight, multitool, 9 person-days of food, a gallon of water, first aid kit, work gloves, vinyl gloves, duct tape, 6 emergency blankets, a handful of ponchos, plastic tarp, whistle, nylon cord and more, all in a small backpack. Plus another (minimum) 15 gallons of water in the house, a small camping stove, an <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/B003EIKBI6/metafilter-20/ref=nosim/">Annihilator</a> and two <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Mobile_Radio_Service">GMRS</a> radios (with plans to get an amateur radio license). I'm not a doomsday prepper, but I realized I would feel really dumb the day after a big quake if I hadn't done any preparation at all while living in SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. (I find people's opinions on LA to be a useful marker of how well they can think for themselves and not accept media portrayals uncritically. E.g., Werner Herzog calls Los Angeles "the most culturally substantial city".) comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378383 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 13:13:31 -0800 jjwiseman By: jjwiseman http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378426 As far as LA infrastructure goes, it does not instill confidence when 2 or 3 days of rain causes roads to close, phones to go dead and lights to go out. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378426 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 13:28:21 -0800 jjwiseman By: yoink http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378473 <em>Huh. I didn't know that, but it gives insight into the dig that Anotonovich leveled during a Metro board meeting that related her advice as equal to "asking the weather girl on how to secure your house during a hurricane"</em> Uh, Jones is a former Secretary of the Seismology Section of the American Geophysical Union, has a Ph.D in geophysics from MIT and is currently Chief Scientist of the USGS Multi-Hazards Demonstration Project for Southern California. That "weather girl" crack is some sexist fucking bullshit. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378473 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 13:56:43 -0800 yoink By: dame http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378561 As a native daughter of a native daughter, I will admit that it is hard to get worked up about a Big One that has been coming but never arrived since my mother was born. I'm not saying I don't understand the reasonableness of getting the kit together, but it is very difficult to feel urgency in your day-to-day life. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378561 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 14:25:04 -0800 dame By: klangklangston http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378577 "<i>Also, as I always remind people - duct tape and latex gloves.</i>" Yeah, but what about an earthquake kit? comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378577 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 14:31:28 -0800 klangklangston By: Sophie1 http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378617 Oh, I have a fully kitted out go bag and shelter in place box. I mention those because people often forget and they can be really useful. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378617 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 14:50:55 -0800 Sophie1 By: Pogo_Fuzzybutt http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378620 <em>The cost of earthquake proofing has gotta be one hell of a lot less than the cost of earthquake recovery from a quake of that scale.</em> Sure, but the cost of preparing is borne solely by the property owner, whereas the the cost of recovery is shared among the owner, tenants, government aid and insurance companies. And That cost may not be realized while the property is being held. The word is "perverse incentives". And the LA hate is a little disturbing even as it is amusing. But <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FYRldZsVO9I">it is not new</a>. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378620 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 14:51:46 -0800 Pogo_Fuzzybutt By: symbioid http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378653 DAMNIT POGO! YOU BEAT ME TO IT BY 24 minutes... "Learn to swim!" comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378653 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 15:15:08 -0800 symbioid By: chimaera http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378697 Depending on where in the grocery-acquisition cycle any major earthquake strikes will determine whether we have near-total self-sufficiency (even without electricity) for 2+ weeks or merely a couple days. I think our major gap in preparation (the house having survived since 1957 entirely unscathed, one of the great advantages of being married to a geologist is we checked the house *and* land it was sitting on with professional-level skill) is we need to get a solar powered charger for our various mobile devices. With one of those and a quake the day after a big Vons.com delivery, we should be well situated. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378697 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 15:39:56 -0800 chimaera By: Eyebrows McGee http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378708 <a href="http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378167">norm</a>: "<i>I am sure that Memphis, St. Louis, and Little Rock are all totally ready for an event at the New Madrid fault too, right?</i>" We are 100% <a href="http://www.dnr.mo.gov/geology/geosrv/geores/techbulletin1.htm">unprepared</a>, but there's a lot that's pretty mysterious about the New Madrid fault and we're not really sure how much damage to expect how often from it, since it hasn't really bothered anybody since the one time in 1811-1812 when it rang church bells in Philadelphia. If we get another quake that big, the devastation will be so catastrophic and widespread that it's basically not worth contemplating, and will probably shut down most of the agricultural transport system for the whole country. (It's not totally clear! There's a lot we don't know about how earthquakes in the New Madrid propagate in our loose glacial soils around here -- the fault is a couple hundred feet down, not under rock, but under muting glacial till -- and what that looks like on the surface!) But it's a very young fault (under 100,000 years) and some scientists think it's shutting down because it's not really moving. But maybe not! It's hard to study. So we spend our disaster preparedness money on blizzards, tornadoes, and floods, which have 100% probability, rather than the Horrible Earthquake with 10% probability. But yeah, Memphis would be completely liquified, it'd be super-bad. On the West Coast, however, earthquakes are a much more predictable threat and earthquake preparedness saves lives even in smaller quakes. Actually, this is a good fact: "Due to the harder, colder, drier and less fractured nature of the rocks in the earth's crust in the central United States, earthquakes in this region shake and damage an area approximately 20 times larger than earthquakes in California and most other active seismic areas. Even though large earthquakes occur much less frequently in the NMSZ than in California, the long term average quake threat, in terms of square miles affected per century, is about the same because of the approximately 20 times larger area affected in the central United States." But no, I'm pretty sure the New Madrid will kill me dead, if Yellowstone erupting doesn't get me first, as long as I never visit California again because I'm totally certain that the minute I step off my airplane, The Big One will dump California into the sea with me on top of it because earthquakes are TERRIFYING. I obsessively and morbidly read everything the disaster people publish about New Madrid because I find them so terrifying, and I just read a 200-page book about The Big One in San Francisco because apparently I like to give myself the willies. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378708 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 15:46:26 -0800 Eyebrows McGee By: jason_steakums http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378794 <em>Sure, but the cost of preparing is borne solely by the property owner, whereas the the cost of recovery is shared among the owner, tenants, government aid and insurance companies. And That cost may not be realized while the property is being held. The word is "perverse incentives".</em> Ideally this is the perfect place for federal funding to step in, for cold hard long-term national interest reasons if nothing else, because the cost of the disaster would impact the country as a whole significantly. Pretty good make-work program potential, too. But, yeah, eminently sensible on one hand and <em>never gonna happen</em> on the other. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378794 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 16:55:57 -0800 jason_steakums By: scaryblackdeath http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378923 I clicked on the comments here because I thought, perhaps, that Metafilter might be big enough not to say a lot of insensitive and asshole-ish things about my former city when it comes to an earthquake that would kill thousands. Turns out, nope. Even on Metafilter, people suck. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5378923 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 18:21:55 -0800 scaryblackdeath By: bongo_x http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5379167 The Northridge quake was the scariest, most intense thing that has ever happened to me, easily topping a screaming person pointing a gun in my face and threatening to kill me. I don't get rattled too easily. And it wasn't <em>that</em> big of a quake. The early 90's was not a great time to live in L.A. But then again... comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5379167 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 22:18:07 -0800 bongo_x By: klangklangston http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5379190 On the other hand, c'mon, Angelinos, no need to get total sads over a bit of cliche. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5379190 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 23:00:07 -0800 klangklangston By: happyroach http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5379207 I have to wonder what the reaction would be to a bunch of assholes saying New Orleans totally deserves to get flooded again. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5379207 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 23:34:53 -0800 happyroach By: Mitheral http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5379209 There certainly were a lot of comments at the time saying New Orleans should be abandoned permanently rather than continuing to sink money and resources into the never ending and eventually unwinnable fight against rising sea levels and sinking land. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5379209 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 23:40:14 -0800 Mitheral By: Mitheral http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5379217 <a href="http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5378096">markkraft</a>: "<i>After checking, it looks like L.A. doesn't host all the fiber connections to the Pacific Rim.</i>" Wow, that's a big pipe they are laying in the Artic. I guess if you are laying fiber across the ocean you might as well lay a big fat pipe. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5379217 Fri, 17 Jan 2014 23:52:43 -0800 Mitheral By: thelonius http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5379239 <i>9 person-days of food, a gallon of water</i> Are you assuming that water won't be a problem, but you'll need 9 days of food? That seems like not enough water, for sure comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5379239 Sat, 18 Jan 2014 00:43:59 -0800 thelonius By: vapidave http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5379249 "...the Northridge damage was estimated at $50 million while Katrina cost around twice that." Just for the record, and politely, both sources wiki; Northridge earthquake-caused property damage was estimated to be more than $20 billion, Katrina total property damage was estimated at $81 billion. I lived through Loma Prieta and let me say first of all that earthquakes are really really disconcerting. Our infrastructure is crubmbling. Assigning the "expense" of an earthquake to our failing infrastructure might find clicks on the internet but it ignores that shit has gotten old. That said. Here's a not fun fact: During the 1906 earthquake in the San Francisco region, roads, fences, and rows of trees and bushes that crossed the fault were offset several yards, and the road across the head of Tomales Bay was offset almost 21 feet . Geologists believe that the total accumulated displacement from earthquakes and creep is at least 350 miles along the San Andreas fault since it came into being about 15-20 million years ago If you use the SF quake as a standard "big one" meaning 21 feet displacement - and divide that over 350 miles - spread over the higher estimate of 20 million years you end up with a "big one" every 227 years. San Andreas is a strike-slip fault, the least dangerous. Seattle on the other hand is near a thrust fault, the most dangerous. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5379249 Sat, 18 Jan 2014 01:34:18 -0800 vapidave By: klangklangston http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5379550 "<i>Just for the record, and politely, both sources wiki; Northridge earthquake-caused property damage was estimated to be more than $20 billion, Katrina total property damage was estimated at $81 billion.</i>" Converted for inflation, that would have put Northridge at about $39 billion in 2005 dollars. comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5379550 Sat, 18 Jan 2014 10:31:04 -0800 klangklangston By: jjwiseman http://www.metafilter.com/135742/Are-you-ready-to-RUMBLE#5379715 <em> Are you assuming that water won't be a problem, but you'll need 9 days of food? That seems like not enough water, for sure.</em> "Plus another (minimum) 15 gallons of water in the house." comment:www.metafilter.com,2014:site.135742-5379715 Sat, 18 Jan 2014 12:29:16 -0800 jjwiseman "Yes. Something that interested us yesterday when we saw it." "Where is she?" His lodgings were situated at the lower end of the town. The accommodation consisted[Pg 64] of a small bedroom, which he shared with a fellow clerk, and a place at table with the other inmates of the house. The street was very dirty, and Mrs. Flack's house alone presented some sign of decency and respectability. It was a two-storied red brick cottage. There was no front garden, and you entered directly into a living room through a door, upon which a brass plate was fixed that bore the following announcement:¡ª The woman by her side was slowly recovering herself. A minute later and she was her cold calm self again. As a rule, ornament should never be carried further than graceful proportions; the arrangement of framing should follow as nearly as possible the lines of strain. Extraneous decoration, such as detached filagree work of iron, or painting in colours, is [159] so repulsive to the taste of the true engineer and mechanic that it is unnecessary to speak against it. Dear Daddy, Schopenhauer for tomorrow. The professor doesn't seem to realize Down the middle of the Ganges a white bundle is being borne, and on it a crow pecking the body of a child wrapped in its winding-sheet. 53 The attention of the public was now again drawn to those unnatural feuds which disturbed the Royal Family. The exhibition of domestic discord and hatred in the House of Hanover had, from its first ascension of the throne, been most odious and revolting. The quarrels of the king and his son, like those of the first two Georges, had begun in Hanover, and had been imported along with them only to assume greater malignancy in foreign and richer soil. The Prince of Wales, whilst still in Germany, had formed a strong attachment to the Princess Royal of Prussia. George forbade the connection. The prince was instantly summoned to England, where he duly arrived in 1728. "But they've been arrested without due process of law. They've been arrested in violation of the Constitution and laws of the State of Indiana, which provide¡ª" "I know of Marvor and will take you to him. It is not far to where he stays." Reuben did not go to the Fair that autumn¡ªthere being no reason why he should and several why he shouldn't. He went instead to see Richard, who was down for a week's rest after a tiring case. Reuben thought a dignified aloofness the best attitude to maintain towards his son¡ªthere was no need for them to be on bad terms, but he did not want anyone to imagine that he approved of Richard or thought his success worth while. Richard, for his part, felt kindly disposed towards his father, and a little sorry for him in his isolation. He invited him to dinner once or twice, and, realising his picturesqueness, was not ashamed to show him to his friends. Stephen Holgrave ascended the marble steps, and proceeded on till he stood at the baron's feet. He then unclasped the belt of his waist, and having his head uncovered, knelt down, and holding up both his hands. De Boteler took them within his own, and the yeoman said in a loud, distinct voice¡ª HoME²¨¶àÒ°´²Ï·ÊÓÆµ ѸÀ×ÏÂÔØ ѸÀ×ÏÂÔØ ENTER NUMBET 0016dyxdhs.com.cn
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